Martin Armstrong sees no bear market despite the gloomy investor outlook.
Martin Armstrong notes that the Dow would have to nosedive below 19,000 for a bear market to play out.
So Martin Armstrong sees no bear market because he believes long-term upward trends will prevail. “We do not expect a natural change in the long-term trend,” he said.
“What you have to understand is that governments are in trouble everywhere and as that happens capital shifts from the public sector like government bonds and it moves into the private sector, which is commodities and equities in general,” he said.
“What you have to understand is that governments are in trouble everywhere and as that happens capital shifts from the public sector like government bonds and it moves into the private sector, which is commodities and equities in general”
MARTIN ARMSTRONG
Martin Armstrong’s advice has been sought by numerous governments. He uses his own created Economic Confidence Model (also called the “pi” cycle) in his forecasting. His background is in programming and creating AI system analytical reports computer-driven.
His consulting is primarily for more institutional advisory, which emphasizes on foreign currencies.
Martin Armstrong sees no bear market, albeit in the long term
Martin Armstrong’s Socrates analyzes capital movements from a global perspective.
He has offices all over the world, including China, SouthEast Asia, Europe, and the US. Doing this for 40 years.
Martin Armstrong explains the dollar bull rally in terms of there being no alternative, TINA.
“The Reason dollar is going up is more to do with a crisis in Europe than Japan,” he said.
“Martin Armstrong’s advice has been sought by numerous governments. He uses his own created Economic Confidence Model (also called the “pi” cycle) in his forecasting”
WEALTH TRAINING COMPANY
The crux of Martin Armstrong’s sees no bear market view is based on the flight of capital from regions to various asset classes.
“When capital flees it has to go someplace,” said Martin Armstrong.
His model analyzes the global distribution of capital.
Martin Armstrong believes the stock market will peak in 2024 and group by 2028. He believes what we will see is more of a change in interest rates than anything.
“It should be more of a commodity cycle as we go into 2024”
– Martin Armstrong
“It should be more of a commodity cycle as we go into 2024. When we see inflation start to return, and so it is a major focal point where the global point changes direction,” he added.
So if Martin Armstrong sees no bear market, where does he think the Dow could go next?
He expects Dow to go up further next level. We will test 40,000, then after that 65,000, but that is out by 2032.
Eventually, the Ukrainian war will conclude, and energy and food commodities will stabilize.
So inflation will peak, and the Fed will also reach peak tightening.
The Fed pivot is not a question of if but when.
Martin Armstrong sees no bear market with a blow-off top could play out.
Peace in Europe and Fed loosening are the ingredients to the next blow-off top, which is probably where the smart money will sell, or short.
