Ray Dalio warns the US is nearing a tipping point in his latest piece entitled, The Archetypical Cycle of Internal Order, dated December 1, which he published on his LinkedIn page.

Ray Dalio is a self-made billionaire investor, founder of Bridgewater, the world’s largest macro hedge fund with an AUM of US$138 billion in 2020. 

“Ray Dalio warns the US is nearing a tipping point in his latest piece entitled, The Archetypical Cycle of Internal Order”

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The conflict of the 21st century will be a class and power struggle and Rey Dalio warns the US is nearing tipping point will find an equilibrium, either manageably, or in another blood-drenched civil war

“People and politicians are now at each other’s throats to a degree greater than at any time in my 71 years” Dalio wrote noting that disorder is rising in several countries.

Ray Dalio warns the US is nearing a tipping point, and “how the US handles its disorder will have profound implications for Americans, others around the world, and most economies and markets,” wrote Rey Dalio, who is probably the world’s top macro investor. 

Ray Dalio believes that the current precarious economic conditions will trigger massive public spending and even more money printing, which could also widen wealth inequality and polarize politics even further

“Classically this stage comes after periods of great excesses in spending and debt and the widening of wealth and political gaps and before there are revolutions and civil wars. The United States is at a tipping point in which it could go from manageable internal tension to revolution and/or civil war” wrote Rey Dalio.

The United States is at a tipping point in which it could go from manageable internal tension to revolution and/or civil war

RAY DALIO

The upbeat part of Ray Dalio warns the US is nearing tipping point thesis is that a good outcome is possible if there is an outlet for different views and there is a perception of fairness

“One timeless and universal truth that I saw went back as far as I studied history, since before Confucius around 500 BC, is that those societies that draw on the widest range of people and give them responsibilities based on their merits rather than privileges are the most sustainably successful because they find the best talent to do their jobs well, they have a diversity of perspectives, and they are perceived as the fairest, which fosters social stability” wrote Ray Dalio.

“THow people are with each other is the primary driver of the outcomes they get” – Ray Dalio

So, Ray Dalio warns the US is nearing a tipping point, and the outcome will depend on civility among people concerning diverse ideologies, backgrounds, ethnicity, and social standing

Ray Dalio noted that America is a melting pot. “How people are with each other is the primary driver of the outcomes they get” wrote Ray Dalio. 

But here is Ray Dalio’s warning if it all goes pear-shaped. 

“When wars, civil or external, happen you will have to decide whether you want to be in them or get out of them. When in doubt get out. You can always get back in, but you might not be able to get out” wrote Ray Dalio.

Ray Dalio warns the US is nearing tipping point essay can be viewed here.